etraider.com

eTraider

The eTraider trading system is an algorithmic crypto trading system that adapts to different market conditions instead of relying on one strategy all the time. It was developed through extensive research into some of the most successful systematic trading strategies, and Artificial Intelligence was used as a research tool to help refine, test, and adapt those strategies across different market environments. Rather than forcing one strategy to do everything, the system separates the portfolio into multiple strategies with different roles, then uses market regime signals to decide how much capital each one should control.

At the trading level, the system focuses on systematic decision-making rather than prediction or discretion. It looks for structured setups in liquid crypto markets, including trend-following opportunities, BTC-relative rotation, and relative-value trades during flatter conditions. Position sizing, portfolio allocation, and risk controls are handled centrally, so the system is designed as one coordinated portfolio rather than a collection of unrelated bots. Great care has been taken in the research process to avoid overfitting and to build a system that can survive very different types of market conditions, not just the periods that look easiest in hindsight.

The overall goal is to balance growth and risk management across changing market regimes. Backtesting has been used to study how the system behaved across development, validation, and holdout periods, but this remains an experiment and only time will tell how successful it really is in live trading. The public website is intended to present an honest record of the system’s behaviour without exposing the exact thresholds, internal routing rules, or execution details.

Trading system growth

+4169.6%US$1 000 to US$42 696 from 2020-03-11 to 2026-10-06.

BTC growth

+978.2%US$1 000 to US$10 782 over the same dates.

Risk and trading profile

21.4% max drawdownSharpe 1.59, profit factor 1.78, win rate 21.9%.

Backtest Portfolio Performance

Backtest through 06 Oct 2026. Dev is the training window. Validation and holdout are later out-of-sample windows.

Trading systemBTC buy and holdDevValidationHoldoutAll backtest trades
5009%3685%2362%1038%-285%
DevValidationHoldout
11 Mar 202001 Mar 202101 Jan 202201 Jan 202331 Dec 202301 Dec 202401 Nov 202506 Oct 2026

Marks below the chart show every backtest trade across the system algorithms.

Dev

+561.4% vs BTC +482.5%

Validation

+152.5% vs BTC -11.4%

Holdout

+148.8% vs BTC +93.6%

Year by year

Each year is shown on its own, and the running total compounds the years together from the start of the backtest. Percentages only.

YearTrading systemSystem running totalBTCBTC running total
2020 (from 11 Mar 2020)+80.0%+80.0%+264.5%+264.5%
2021+267.5%+561.4%+59.8%+482.5%
2022-2.7%+543.7%-64.2%+108.5%
2023+161.9%+1586.2%+155.6%+432.9%
2024+186.2%+4725.1%+121.3%+1079.4%
2025-9.4%+4273.8%-6.3%+1004.6%
2026 (to 06 Oct 2026)-2.4%+4169.6%-2.4%+978.2%

Methodology

High level trading methodology.

1. Separate algorithms

The trading system does not force one strategy to solve every market. It routes capital across separate algorithms with different jobs.

2. Regime-aware allocation

BTC trend, volatility, and breadth determine how much capital should be offensive, defensive, or left in reserve.

3. Different market roles

Risk-on periods lean harder into BTC rotation and USDT trend following. Consolidation periods use a relative-value sleeve instead of pure directional exposure.

Performance Statistics

Backtest summary

Final value

US$42 696 from a US$1 000 starting balance.

Total return

+4169.6% versus BTC at +978.2%.

CAGR

+77.1% over the full test period.

Max drawdown

21.41% for the system versus 76.63% for BTC.

Sharpe / Sortino / Calmar

1.59 / 4.25 / 3.60

Trade count / win rate

1463 trades with a 21.9% win rate.

Profit factor / average trade

1.78 profit factor and +2.49% average trade.

Average winner / loser

+25.94% / -4.07%

Latest plotted point

06 Oct 2026 at +4169.6% for the trading system and +978.2% for BTC.

Trade Record

Showing 25 delayed trades of 1427.

View full archive
ExecutedAlgorithmMarketSideP&LPortfolio
(USD%)
Portfolio
(BTC%)
23 Sept 2026Usdt BullAVAX/USDTLong-0.4%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt BullBTC/USDTLong-0.5%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt BullETH/USDTLong-0.9%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt TrendBTC/USDT:USDTLong-0.9%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt TrendETH/USDT:USDTLong-1.8%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt TrendTIA/USDT:USDTLong-12.5%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt ConsolidationADA/USDT:USDTLong-8.9%+4539.4%+963.7%
23 Sept 2026Usdt TrendADA/USDT:USDTLong-5.0%+4539.4%+963.7%
22 Sept 2026Usdt TrendWIF/USDT:USDTLong-12.8%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt BullPEPE/USDTLong-7.4%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt BullSOL/USDTLong-0.9%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt BullLINK/USDTLong-2.9%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt TrendSOL/USDT:USDTLong-1.9%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt TrendLINK/USDT:USDTLong-6.4%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt TrendWIF/USDT:USDTLong-12.8%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt BullBNB/USDTLong-1.0%+4617.5%+986.5%
22 Sept 2026Usdt TrendBNB/USDT:USDTLong-2.3%+4617.5%+986.5%
21 Sept 2026Usdt BullLINK/USDTLong-1.7%+4665.8%+991.7%
20 Sept 2026Usdt TrendAVAX/USDT:USDTLong-12.8%+4541.3%+923.1%
09 Sept 2026Usdt ConsolidationLINK/USDT:USDTLong-4.8%+4545.9%+886.9%
07 Sept 2026Usdt BullBTC/USDTLong-1.4%+4568.4%+897.1%
04 Sept 2026Usdt BullBTC/USDTLong-1.3%+4577.9%+904.0%
04 Sept 2026Usdt TrendBTC/USDT:USDTLong-2.1%+4577.9%+904.0%
01 Sept 2026Usdt BullBTC/USDTLong+7.1%+4537.0%+876.0%
01 Sept 2026Usdt TrendBTC/USDT:USDTLong+10.8%+4537.0%+876.0%